基于人工神经网络的地震经济损失评估   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：3  

马亚杰  李永义  韩秀丽 《世界地震工程》2007,23(1):146-150

地震经济损失估计是涉及多方面、多级次的复杂指标体系的非线性动力问题。其指标体系的选取以具有代表性、可靠、易获取、易于定量化为原则。应用MATLAB6.5神经网络工具箱,建立了适用于震后经济损失快速评估的三层BP神经网络地震灾害经济评估模型。  相似文献   

全直径岩心分析Archie参数在DQ油田XX区块的非均质火成岩气层评价中的应用          下载免费PDF全文

韩学辉  何亿成  王界益  戴诗华  柯式镇 《地球物理学进展》2007,22(1):301-307

指出了全直径岩心分析的Archie参数(m、n)对非均质储层含油(气)性评价的重要性.使用新疆测井公司开发的全直径岩心多参数分析实验装置及实验方法，以DQ油田XX区块的非均质火成岩气层评价为例，由7块全直径岩样该获得了储层的物性和Archie参数.当应用于该储层含气饱和度估算后，与密闭取心饱和度分析的含气饱和度结果比较，含气饱和度估算误差大致在5%以内，较按Archie参数的确省值(m=n=2)估算的含气饱和度的精度高 10%左右.考虑到非均质储层在岩性、物性、孔隙结构的特殊性，推荐“真正”使用全直径岩心分析方法应用于非均质储层的物性、含油(气)性的评价，并重视模拟油藏条件的全直径岩心分析装置的开发.  相似文献   

红河断裂带两侧地块地震震源参数研究     

叶建庆  张建国  杨晶琼  谢英情 《地震研究》2007,30(3):241-247

利用云南区域数字地震遥测台网资料,采用Brune圆位错模型对1998年12月至2006年8月云南境内M≥3地震和越南北部M>2地震测算震源参数。结果表明,红河断裂两侧活动块体的地震活动和震源参数存在较为明显的差异。就地震矩与震级的标度关系而言,滇西南块体与美国加州圣安德列斯断层和滇西实验场及其周边地区的结果一致,但与华南块体和越南北部地区有差异;从应力降的测算结果看,华南块体西缘的云南及越南北部地区的年均值为7.29MPa,滇西南块体为4.48MPa,两块体北部地震的应力降大于南部地区,应力降由北向南逐渐减小;就地震位错年均值而言,华南块体为12.3mm/a,滇西南块体为6.6mm/a。  相似文献   

Study on inelastic displacement ratio spectra for near-fault pulse-type ground motions   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：2  

翟长海  李爽  谢礼立  孙亚民 《地震工程与工程振动(英文版)》2007,6(4):351-355

In displacement-based seismic design, inelastic displacement ratio spectra (IDRS) are particularly useful for estimating the maximum lateral inelastic displacement demand of a nonlinear SDOF system from the maximum elastic displacement demand of its counterpart linear elastic SDOF system. In this study, the characteristics of IDRS for near-fault pulse-type ground motions are investigated based on a great number of earthquake ground motions. The in? uence of site conditions, ratio of peak ground velocity (PGV) to peak ground acceleration (PGA), the PGV, and the maximum incremental velocity (MIV) on IDRS are also evaluated. The results indicate that the effect of near-fault ground motions on IDRS are signifi cant only at periods between 0.2 s - 1.5 s, where the amplifi cation can approach 20%. The PGV/PGA ratio has the most signifi cant in? uence on IDRS among the parameters considered. It is also found that site conditions only slightly affect the IDRS.  相似文献   

Source mechanism and source parameters of May 28, 1998 earthquake,Egypt   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

K. M. Abou Elenean  H. M. Hussein 《Journal of Seismology》2007,11(3):259-274

On May 28, 1998, a moderate size earthquake of mb 5.5 occurred offshore the northwestern part of Egypt (latitude 31.45°N and longitude 27.64°E). It was widely felt in the northern part of Egypt. Being the largest well-recorded event in the area for which seismic data from the global digital network are available, it provides an excellent opportunity to study the tectonic process and present day stress field occurring along the offshore Egyptian coast. The source parameters of this event are determined using three different techniques: modeling of surface wave spectral amplitudes, regional waveform inversion, and teleseismic body waveform inversion. The results show a high-angle reverse fault mechanism generally trending NNW–SSE. The P-axis trends ENE–WSW consistently with the prevailed compression stress along the southeastern Hellenic arc and southwestern part of the Cyprean arc. This unexpected mechanism is most probably related to a positive inversion of the NW trending offshore normal faults and confirms an extension of the back thrusting effects towards the African margin. The estimated focal depth ranges from 22 to 25 km, indicating a lower crustal origin earthquake owing to deep-seated tectonics. The source time function indicates a single source with rise time and total rupture duration of 2 and 5 s, respectively. The seismic moment (M _o) and the moment magnitude (M _w) determined by the three techniques are 1.03 × 10¹⁷ Nm, 5.28; 1.24 × 10¹⁷ Nm, 5.33; and 1.68 × 10¹⁷ Nm, 5.42; respectively. The calculated fault radius, stress drop, and the average dislocation assuming a circular fault model are 7.2 km, 0.63 Mpa, and 0.11 m, respectively.  相似文献   

Robust H∞ control for aseismic structures with uncertainties in model parameters     

宋刚  林家浩  赵岩 《地震工程与工程振动(英文版)》2007,6(4):409-416

This paper presents a robust H∞ output feedback control approach for structural systems with uncertainties in model parameters by using available acceleration measurements and proposes conditions for the existence of such a robust output feedback controller. The uncertainties of structural stiffness, damping and mass parameters are assumed to be norm-bounded. The proposed control approach is formulated within the framework of linear matrix inequalities, for which existing convex optimization techniques, such as the LMI toolbox in MATLAB, can be used effectively and conveniently. To illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed robust H∞ strategy, a six-story building was subjected both to the 1940 El Centro earthquake record and to a suddenly applied Kanai-Tajimi filtered white noise random excitation. The results show that the proposed robust H∞ controller provides satisfactory results with or without variation of the structural stiffness, damping and mass parameters.  相似文献   

Inferred ground motions on Guadeloupe during the 2004 Les Saintes earthquake     

John Douglas 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2007,5(3):363-376

Accurate estimates of the ground motions that occurred during damaging earthquakes are a vital part of many aspects of earthquake engineering, such as the study of the size and cause of the uncertainties within earthquake risk assessments. This article compares a number of methods to estimate the ground shaking that occurred on Guadeloupe (French Antilles) during the 21st November 2004 (M _w 6.3) Les Saintes earthquake, with the aim of providing more accurate shaking estimates for the investigation of the sources of uncertainties within loss evaluations, based on damage data from this event. The various techniques make differing use of the available ground-motion recordings of this earthquake and by consequence the estimates obtained by the different approaches are associated with differing uncertainties. Ground motions on the French Antilles are affected by strong local site effects, which have been extensively investigated in previous studies. In this article, use is made of these studies in order to improve the shaking estimates. It is shown that the simple methods neglecting the spatial correlation of earthquake shaking lead to uncertainties similar to those predicted by empirical ground-motion models and that these are uniform across the whole of Guadeloupe. In contrast, methods (such as the ShakeMap approach) that take account of the spatial correlation in motions demonstrate that shaking within roughly 10 km of a recording station (covering a significant portion of the investigated area) can be defined with reasonable accuracy but that motions at more distant points are not well constrained.  相似文献   

基于遥感影像的城市森林分类提取及生态价值估算研究   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

柳晶辉  邵芸  黄初冬 《地理与地理信息科学》2007,23(4):33-36

以北京通州新城区城市森林为研究对象,提出一种基于信息论的决策树分类方法,以提取Aster遥感影像中城市森林平面量,改善传统分类方法仅利用影像光谱特征信息的不足,高分辨率影像和地面调查数据验证显示其分类精度达84.6%.结合分类影像图,引入城市森林生态价值评估模型(CITYgreen模型)估算出通州新城区森林的生态价值约为598.87万美元.研究表明,该方法适合大面积区域的城市森林分类提取及其生态价值估算.  相似文献   

塔里木河流域白杨农田防护林蒸散量估算模型     

李岳坦  胡顺军  李新虎  李修仓 《干旱区地理》2007,30(1):115-120

以水面蒸发量为基础,利用多年的白杨农田防护林试验资料,建立了塔里木河流域白杨农田防护林蒸散量的两种估算模型,并利用白杨林实际蒸散量的测量值,分别对两种模型进行了验证。结果表明,从总体上来说,模型(Ⅰ)计算精度较高,但两种模型的相对误差都不是很大,都可以作为计算塔里木河流域白杨农田防护林蒸散量的方法而使用,但要根据具体情况加以应用。  相似文献   

Gauss-Markov模型的岭型GM估计     

马朝忠  张磊  归庆明  杜院录  韩松辉 《测绘学院学报》2007,(1)

针对目前文献中提出的各种抗差有偏估计没有对设计空间的粗差进行控制的问题,将岭估计与GM估计结合起来提出了一种新的抗差有偏估计———岭型GM估计,理论分析和计算结果均表明岭型GM估计不仅能消除法矩阵病态性的不良影响,而且能同时具有观测空间和设计空间的抗差性,是一种性能良好的估计。  相似文献